Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Harga Beras Internasional dan Produksi Beras dalam Negeri terhadap Volume Impor Beras Indonesia ( Studi Impor Beras Indonesia Tahun 2002-2013)

摘要

The objective of this study is to determine the effect of the exchange rate, International rice prices and domestic rice production to the Indonesia\u27s rice import volume during 2002 to 2013. This Study is descriptive reseach with quantitative approach. The data that being used is quarterly in 2002-2013 period. The study took place in Central Bureau of Statistics Indonesia, the Ministry of Trade, and the World Bank. The data analysis method is multiple linear regression with SPSS 21.0. The results of the coefficient of determination (R² Adjussted) of 0.427 it means the Exchange Rate, International Rice Price and Domestic rice production influenced 42.7% Indonesia\u27s rice import volume, the rest 52.3% is influenced by other variables that is not being reaserched by this study. The results of multiple test (test F), showed that Exchange Rate, International Rice Price and Domestic rice production is significantly influenced Indonesia\u27s rice import volume. The result of partial test (t test) showed that rupiah exchange rate and International rice price simultaneously and significantly influenced Indonesia\u27s import rice volume, meanwhile domestic rice production wasn\u27t significantly influenced Indonesia\u27s rice import volume.